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Review on the prediction before the Wenchuan Earthquake

Guo Zengjian,Guo Anning

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6,   Pages 166-168

Abstract: : justify;">According to the index of solar activity we predicted in 2006 that during 2007 ~2008 an earthquakeM >7 will possibly occur in segment between Tianshui and Kangding.Based on the flood-earthquake chainalong the latitude circle of 30°,we predicted in the end of 2007 that an earthquake M6 ~7 will possibly

Keywords: earthquake prediction     valley of solar activity     flood-earthquake chain    

Uncertainty Quantification for Multivariate Eco-Hydrological Risk in the Xiangxi River within the Three Gorges Reservoir Area in China Article

Yurui Fan,Guohe Huang,Yin Zhang,Yongping Li

Engineering 2018, Volume 4, Issue 5,   Pages 617-626 doi: 10.1016/j.eng.2018.06.006

Abstract: Parameter uncertainties in marginal distributions and dependence structure are quantified by a Markov chainresults show that the obtained predictive intervals bracketed the observations well, especially for floodreturn period in "AND" case increases with an increase in the return period for univariate flood

Keywords: Flood risk     Copula     Multivariate flood frequency analysis     Distribution     Markov chain Monte Carlo    

Design flood of ungauged basins based on DEM

Zhang Ting,Feng Ping

Strategic Study of CAE 2011, Volume 13, Issue 12,   Pages 68-73

Abstract: of Fuzhou City which is an ungauged basin has been taken for example to discuss the method of design flood

Keywords: ungauged area     design flood     digital elevation model (DEM)     isochrones    

The flood control and regulation of Three Gorges Project

Cai Qihua

Strategic Study of CAE 2011, Volume 13, Issue 7,   Pages 15-19

Abstract:

The important role of TGP in the flood control of the Yangtze River Basin is summarized and the "In combination with practical flood regulation and operation, the flood regulation effect of TGP is analyzed; several problems related to reservoir flood regulation are discussed and suggestions are put forward

Keywords: Three Gorges Project     flood control     regulation    

Rethinking of geological disaster control at the anniversary of the Wenchuan Earthquake

Lu Yaoru

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6,   Pages 36-43

Abstract:

The big Wenchuan Earthquake has passed for a year, but the huge disastercaused by the earthquake cannot be forgotten yet.The scientific development view should be better carried out and the earthquake mechanism should be analyzed

Keywords: Wenchuan Earthquake     the earthquake history of Chuan-Dian area     geological disaster     earthquake mechanism    

A rain-on-snow mixed flood forecast model and its application

Jian WU, Lan LI,

Frontiers of Structural and Civil Engineering 2009, Volume 3, Issue 4,   Pages 440-444 doi: 10.1007/s11709-009-0051-0

Abstract: Based on summarizing the rule of rainstorm and snowmelt mixed flood, the structure of rain-on-snow runoff-generationA rain-on-snow flood forecast model is developed by combining LL-Ⅰdistributed hydrology model.

Keywords: Xinjiang Autonomous     forecasting     hydrology     temperature     rain-on-snow runoff-generation    

Prediction and thoughts of the Wenchuan large earthquake

Geng Qingguo

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6,   Pages 123-128

Abstract:

According to many years of earthquake prediction exploring work basedon analysis of drought -earthquake relations and ordered strong earthquake activities and the methodthe Sichuan Abazhou area, and revealed the main points of the "Urgent advice to enhance strong earthquake

Keywords: Wenchuan Large Earthquake prediction     drought-earthquake relations     strong earthquake activities order    

The phenomena based on the before Wenchuan Earthquake, the characteristic of large scale and deep layeron dynamic force of earthquake occurrence has been recognized

Xu Shaoxie

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6,   Pages 16-18

Abstract: text-align: justify;">The characteristic of large scale and deep layer on dynamic force of Wenchuan EarthquakeThe seismicity before Wenchuan Earthquake of May 12, 2008 has been studied, by using the data from 1977activity enhanced in deep layer, are important phenomena before Wenchuan Earthquake.Such characteristics have already been found in the phenomena before Tangshan Earthquake in 1976.Since the disaster of a great earthquake is very serious, it should be enhanced to collect and study

Keywords: Wenchuan Earthquake     the characteristic of large scale and deep layer on dynamic force of earthquakeoccurrence     earthquake prediction    

Effect of Discharge Facilities for Unusual Flood Release on Dam Safety

Wu Shiqiang,Jiang Shuhai

Strategic Study of CAE 2000, Volume 2, Issue 12,   Pages 66-72

Abstract:

To predict the risk assessment of a dam which constructs two special tunnels for unusual flood release

Keywords: dam safety     flood discharge     risk analysis     stochastic differential equation    

Destructive Earthquakes Are Predictable——The Physical Model of Earthquake Gestation and the Signal of

Sun Wei

Strategic Study of CAE 2007, Volume 9, Issue 7,   Pages 7-17

Abstract:

What is discussed here is that the earthquake precursor have their ownAn analytic method is brought forward for tracing the information on the warning signs of an earthquakeAlso, earthquake prediction is preactically divided into stages, making it possible to realize the predicting

Keywords: destructive earthquake     quake-breeding physical model     signals before an earthquake     earthquake precursor    

Inspiration on 2011 flood in Chao Phraya River of Thailand

Liu Ning,Zhang Zhitong,Huang Jinchi

Strategic Study of CAE 2013, Volume 15, Issue 4,   Pages 108-112

Abstract:

Flood event occurred in Chao Phroya River of Thailand in 2011 inducedDuring and after the flood Chinese Government sent experts to Thailand to offer some consultant aboutthe flood disaster reduction.This paper briefly evaluated the flood event.Some problems were also discussed based on the international experience on flood disaster reduction.

Keywords: Chao Phraya River     flood disaster     inspiration    

The scientific faith that earthquake is predictable should be insisted—the successful prediction of threestrong aftershocks of Wenchuan Earthquake

Wang Chengmin

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6,   Pages 107-110

Abstract:

Is earthquake predictable?This question has been discussed a lot by earthquake researchers and common people after the WenchuanEarthquake.The specialists in Chinese Earthquake Prediction Consultation Committee started the aftershockprediction research after the earthquake to support emergency rescue and disaster relief with practicalon May 18 in Jiangyou, M 6.4 earthquake on May 25 in Qingchuan and M 6.1 earthquake on August 1 in Beichuan

Keywords: Wenchuan Earthquake     aftershock of Wenchuan Earthquake     earthquake short -impending prediction    

Statistic and review of China’s earthquake prediction score

Gao Jianguo

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6,   Pages 129-131

Abstract:

Earthquake is difficult to forecast, but it doesn't happen withoutsigns or unknown,our country has the case summary for every large earthquake.Statistics clearly showmiddle -term, short -term or imminent earthquakes in the last 40 years.Therefore, success in Chinese earthquakeprediction could not be denied only because of failure in Wenchuan Earthquake prediction.China'searthquake prediction score should be positive,and Wenchuan Earthquake is not a "strange shock&

Keywords: earthquake     earthquake prediction     nearly 30 years’earthquake prediction statistics in china    

Short-term and impending precursor of sand layer stress in Wenchuan Earthquake

Wang Baoyu,Tong Xiaohui,Sun Xiaoming ,Sun Wei

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6,   Pages 146-152

Abstract:

An earthquake preparation physical model was established based on observationdata of sand layer stress instrument in Changping and Xiji, Beijing, earthquake precursor in the past30 years observed by this instrument and precursor of Indonesia Earthquake (M =8.7) on December 26,2004.The short-term and impending precursor of Wenchuan Earthquake recorded by the sand layer stressinfrared and other testing methods in the aspect of time, had very obvious characters of impending earthquake

Keywords: Wenchuan Earthquake     sand layer stress instrument     earthquake preparation physical model of sand layerstress     impending earthquake signal    

Lessons learnt from the great Sichuan Wenchuan Earthquake

Xie Lili

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6,   Pages 28-35

Abstract: text-align: justify;">This paper presents the major lessons learnt from the recently occurred devastating earthquakeIt discussed some bottle-neck questions existing in the current earthquake disaster prevention work oflow quality construction in both rural and town area, seismic hazard assessment and seismic zoning, earthquakeinduced geological hazard, and earthquake prediction etc., and pointed out that the civil engineeringprevention method is the best choice for the solution of reducing earthquake losses and mitigating earthquake

Keywords: Wenchuan Earthquake     earthquake prevention and mitigation     prevention first     civil engineeringThoughts on    

Title Author Date Type Operation

Review on the prediction before the Wenchuan Earthquake

Guo Zengjian,Guo Anning

Journal Article

Uncertainty Quantification for Multivariate Eco-Hydrological Risk in the Xiangxi River within the Three Gorges Reservoir Area in China

Yurui Fan,Guohe Huang,Yin Zhang,Yongping Li

Journal Article

Design flood of ungauged basins based on DEM

Zhang Ting,Feng Ping

Journal Article

The flood control and regulation of Three Gorges Project

Cai Qihua

Journal Article

Rethinking of geological disaster control at the anniversary of the Wenchuan Earthquake

Lu Yaoru

Journal Article

A rain-on-snow mixed flood forecast model and its application

Jian WU, Lan LI,

Journal Article

Prediction and thoughts of the Wenchuan large earthquake

Geng Qingguo

Journal Article

The phenomena based on the before Wenchuan Earthquake, the characteristic of large scale and deep layeron dynamic force of earthquake occurrence has been recognized

Xu Shaoxie

Journal Article

Effect of Discharge Facilities for Unusual Flood Release on Dam Safety

Wu Shiqiang,Jiang Shuhai

Journal Article

Destructive Earthquakes Are Predictable——The Physical Model of Earthquake Gestation and the Signal of

Sun Wei

Journal Article

Inspiration on 2011 flood in Chao Phraya River of Thailand

Liu Ning,Zhang Zhitong,Huang Jinchi

Journal Article

The scientific faith that earthquake is predictable should be insisted—the successful prediction of threestrong aftershocks of Wenchuan Earthquake

Wang Chengmin

Journal Article

Statistic and review of China’s earthquake prediction score

Gao Jianguo

Journal Article

Short-term and impending precursor of sand layer stress in Wenchuan Earthquake

Wang Baoyu,Tong Xiaohui,Sun Xiaoming ,Sun Wei

Journal Article

Lessons learnt from the great Sichuan Wenchuan Earthquake

Xie Lili

Journal Article